What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06087110102 in Watsonville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $645,755 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06087110102 in Watsonville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $645,755 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.3%.

Markets Open Map

Explore Homecastr.

View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.

Get Free API Key Get My Forecast Browse Markets

DocsStart Here Forecasts Data Catalog Benchmarks REST Quickstart

Loading forecast data...

Parcel 06087110102 (Watsonville) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06087110102, Watsonville Home Price Forecast

Santa Cruz, CA · ZIP 95076 · Census Tract 06087110102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

Copy a share-ready forecast link for notes, client emails, or community posts.

Current modeled value

$646K

Downside (P10)

$586K

-9% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$712K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$907K

+40% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$486K	$493K	$590K	$617K	$627K	$646K	$661K	$679K	$712K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$159,455	-$153,155	-$55,455	-$29,255	-$18,555		+$15,132	+$33,626	+$66,209
Growth % vs 2026	-24.7%	-23.7%	-8.6%	-4.5%	-2.9%		+2.3%	+5.2%	+10.3%
Downside (P10)							$585K	$579K	$586K
Upside (P90)							$793K	$864K	$907K

Forecast Confidence

75%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$585K to $793K

31.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$586K to $907K

45.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.3% · Spread: 45%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06087110102, Watsonville on map

Open Full Map ↗

Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).