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Boulder, CO · ZIP 80503 · Census Tract 08013013207 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$659K
Downside (P10)
$552K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$696K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$964K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $325K | $357K | $371K | $410K | $446K | $457K | $473K | $605K | $631K | $664K | $659K | $669K | $691K | $696K |
| YoY Change | +9.7% | +3.9% | +10.7% | +8.8% | +2.3% | +3.6% | +27.9% | +4.3% | +5.3% | -0.9% | +1.5% | +3.3% | +0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $595K | $578K | $552K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $763K | $833K | $964K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$595K to $763K
25.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$552K to $964K
59.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longmont | $670K | $696K | +3.8% | |
| Longmont (Tract 013212) | $634K | $722K | +13.9% | |
| Lafayette-Louisville | $662K | $742K | +12.0% | |
| Lafayette | $656K | $725K | +10.6% | |
| Boulder | $674K | $728K | +7.9% | |
| Longmont (Tract 013302) | $671K | $723K | +7.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longmont | $670K | $696K | +3.8% | |
| Longmont (Tract 013601) | $869K | $1.06M | +22.2% | |
| Boulder (Tract 012610) | $380K | $460K | +21.1% | |
| Boulder (Tract 012705) | $549K | $650K | +18.5% | |
| Longmont (Tract 013202) | $1.24M | $1.47M | +18.2% | |
| Bald Mountain | $1.04M | $1.21M | +17.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longmont | $670K | $696K | $413K | |
| Longmont (Tract 013505) | $441K | $516K | $254K | |
| Longmont (Tract 013402) | $520K | $541K | $249K | |
| Longmont (Tract 013306) | $488K | $505K | $235K | |
| Longmont (Tract 013401) | $451K | $493K | $230K | |
| Lafayette-Louisville | $300K | $322K | $158K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.