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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 08530, CO · Census Tract 08530920005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$2.74M
Downside (P10)
$1.23M
-55% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.94M
-29% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.48M
-9% by 2030
Base case: -29% by 2030, with a forecast range from -55% to -9%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.7M | $2.7M | $2.4M | $2.0M | $1.9M |
| YoY Change | -0.5% | -13.1% | -14.0% | -4.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.9M | $1.6M | $1.3M | $1.2M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.2M | $2.9M | $2.5M | $2.5M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$1.89M to $3.15M
46.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.23M to $2.48M
65.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920005 | $2.74M | $1.94M | -29.3% | |
| Tract 640000 | $3.03M | $2.02M | -33.2% | |
| Tract 760003 | $3.57M | $2.34M | -34.6% | |
| Tract 880006 | $3.00M | $1.89M | -36.8% | |
| Tract 320003 | $4.38M | $2.54M | -42.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920005 | $2.74M | $1.94M | -29.3% | |
| Tract 640000 | $3.03M | $2.02M | -33.2% | |
| Tract 760003 | $3.57M | $2.34M | -34.6% | |
| Tract 880006 | $3.00M | $1.89M | -36.8% | |
| Tract 320003 | $4.38M | $2.54M | -42.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920005 | $2.74M | $1.94M | $1.26M | |
| Tract 640000 | $3.03M | $2.02M | $1.67M | |
| Tract 760003 | $3.57M | $2.34M | $1.61M | |
| Tract 880006 | $3.00M | $1.89M | $1.46M | |
| Tract 320003 | $4.38M | $2.54M | $1.36M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources