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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Douglas, CO · ZIP 80116 · Census Tract 08035014602 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.07M
Downside (P10)
$899K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.20M
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.55M
+44% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $596K | $606K | $595K | $641K | $676K | $696K | $802K | $923K | $998K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | +1.6% | -1.8% | +7.8% | +5.3% | +3.1% | +15.2% | +15.0% | +8.1% | +5.3% | +2.3% | +2.2% | +5.2% | +3.7% | -9.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $946K | $930K | $899K | $964K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$946K to $1.33M
35.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$964K to $1.21M
22.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker · Franktown · (Tract 146.2) | $1.08M | $1.20M | +10.5% | |
| Lone Tree | $1.03M | $1.19M | +15.0% | |
| Castle Rock | $998K | $1.14M | +14.5% | |
| Parker | $955K | $995K | +4.1% | |
| Sedalia (Tract 014123) | $1.16M | $1.20M | +3.5% | |
| Sedalia (Tract 014125) | $997K | $1.02M | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker · Franktown · (Tract 146.2) | $1.08M | $1.20M | +10.5% | |
| Parker (Tract 014014) | $593K | $717K | +20.8% | |
| Stonegate | $582K | $682K | +17.2% | |
| Parker (Tract 014008) | $713K | $833K | +16.8% | |
| Sedalia | $909K | $1.05M | +15.6% | |
| Lone Tree | $1.03M | $1.19M | +15.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker · Franktown · (Tract 146.2) | $1.08M | $1.20M | $650K | |
| Sedalia | $594K | $669K | $307K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014504) | $501K | $547K | $306K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014503) | $591K | $589K | $296K | |
| Parker (Tract 013907) | $637K | $686K | $287K | |
| Parker (Tract 014015) | $439K | $462K | $240K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.