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Douglas, CO · ZIP 80129 · Census Tract 08035014131 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$688K
Downside (P10)
$616K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$733K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$928K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $496K | $520K | $535K | $556K | $556K | $544K | $581K | $637K | $659K | $686K | $688K | $715K | $720K | $733K |
| YoY Change | +4.9% | +2.9% | +3.9% | +0.1% | -2.2% | +6.7% | +9.6% | +3.5% | +4.1% | +0.3% | +4.0% | +0.7% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $628K | $604K | $616K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $833K | $877K | $928K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$628K to $833K
28.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$616K to $928K
42.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sedalia | $684K | $733K | +7.3% | |
| Parker (Tract 013910) | $683K | $768K | +12.4% | |
| Highlands Ranch (Tract 014112) | $686K | $753K | +9.9% | |
| Parker (Tract 014604) | $686K | $748K | +8.9% | |
| Highlands Ranch (Tract 014124) | $688K | $740K | +7.6% | |
| Highlands Ranch (Tract 014113) | $686K | $735K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sedalia | $684K | $733K | +7.3% | |
| Parker (Tract 014014) | $593K | $717K | +20.8% | |
| Stonegate | $582K | $682K | +17.2% | |
| Parker (Tract 014008) | $713K | $833K | +16.8% | |
| Sedalia | $909K | $1.05M | +15.6% | |
| Lone Tree | $1.03M | $1.19M | +15.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sedalia | $684K | $733K | $312K | |
| Sedalia | $594K | $669K | $307K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014504) | $501K | $547K | $306K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014503) | $591K | $589K | $296K | |
| Parker (Tract 013907) | $637K | $686K | $287K | |
| Parker (Tract 014015) | $439K | $462K | $240K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.