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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Jefferson, CO · ZIP 80228 · Census Tract 08059011720 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$741K
Downside (P10)
$599K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$755K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.09M
+47% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $337K | $333K | $395K | $440K | $459K | $497K | $513K | $648K | $699K | $729K | $741K | $760K | $754K | $755K |
| YoY Change | -1.3% | +18.6% | +11.6% | +4.2% | +8.4% | +3.1% | +26.4% | +7.8% | +4.4% | +1.6% | +2.6% | -0.7% | +0.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $638K | $626K | $599K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $971K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$638K to $971K
43.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$599K to $1.09M
64.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Jefferson · Denver · (Tract 117.20) | $726K | $755K | +3.9% | |
| South Jefferson (Tract 012058) | $755K | $839K | +11.1% | |
| Northeast Jefferson (Tract 009836) | $722K | $791K | +9.5% | |
| Northeast Jefferson (Tract 012054) | $762K | $813K | +6.7% | |
| South Jefferson (Tract 012037) | $739K | $761K | +3.0% | |
| Columbine | $723K | $736K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Jefferson · Denver · (Tract 117.20) | $726K | $755K | +3.9% | |
| Northeast Jefferson | $601K | $712K | +18.3% | |
| Lakewood (Tract 011728) | $652K | $763K | +17.0% | |
| Dakota Ridge | $692K | $806K | +16.5% | |
| Columbine | $634K | $736K | +16.2% | |
| Lakewood (Tract 011807) | $569K | $657K | +15.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Jefferson · Denver · (Tract 117.20) | $726K | $755K | $490K | |
| Lakewood (Tract 011402) | $338K | $388K | $234K | |
| Lakewood (Tract 011732) | $353K | $405K | $217K | |
| Arvada | $554K | $604K | $211K | |
| Lakewood (Tract 011904) | $360K | $367K | $135K | |
| Golden | $113K | $124K | $64K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.