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Weld, CO · ZIP 80631 · Census Tract 08123000701 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$281K
Downside (P10)
$246K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$318K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$444K
+58% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $84K | $81K | $95K | $153K | $176K | $180K | $207K | $260K | $268K | $281K | $287K | $308K | $318K |
| YoY Change | +0.1% | -3.6% | +17.7% | +60.9% | +14.9% | +2.4% | +14.9% | +25.5% | +3.3% | +4.8% | +2.3% | +7.1% | +3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $246K | $247K | $246K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $350K | $383K | $444K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$246K to $350K
36.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$246K to $444K
62.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greeley | $272K | $318K | +16.5% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000703) | $288K | $342K | +18.7% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000501) | $279K | $319K | +14.4% | |
| Greeley (Tract 001003) | $308K | $333K | +8.1% | |
| Greeley (Tract 001004) | $299K | $316K | +5.4% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000600) | $265K | $273K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greeley | $272K | $318K | +16.5% | |
| Fort Lupton | $442K | $527K | +19.2% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000703) | $288K | $342K | +18.7% | |
| La Salle-Gilcrest | $411K | $480K | +16.8% | |
| Erie-Frederick | $633K | $739K | +16.6% | |
| Greeley (Tract 001100) | $425K | $492K | +16.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greeley | $272K | $318K | $198K | |
| Greeley (Tract 001201) | $320K | $352K | $160K | |
| Greeley (Tract 001300) | $313K | $350K | $160K | |
| Evans | $353K | $395K | $156K | |
| Greeley (Tract 000200) | $213K | $221K | $147K | |
| Greeley (Tract 000600) | $265K | $273K | $120K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.