What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09140348122 in Southbury · (Tract 3481.22)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $569,577 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09140348122 in Southbury · (Tract 3481.22)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $569,577 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.4%.

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Parcel 09140348122 (Southbury) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 09140348122, Southbury · (Tract 3481.22) Home Price Forecast

Naugatuck Valley, CT · Census Tract 09140348122 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$570K

Downside (P10)

$485K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$589K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$847K

+49% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$442K	$485K	$551K	$570K	$587K	$606K	$589K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$127,877	-$84,577	-$18,677		+$17,446	+$35,971	+$19,254
Growth % vs 2026	-22.5%	-14.8%	-3.3%		+3.1%	+6.3%	+3.4%
Downside (P10)					$517K	$519K	$485K
Upside (P90)					$703K	$798K	$847K

Forecast Confidence

66%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$517K to $703K

31.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$485K to $847K

61.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.4% · Spread: 62%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 09140348122, Southbury · (Tract 3481.22) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).