What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09140110100 in Shelton?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $343,218 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09140110100 in Shelton?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $343,218 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.6%.

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Parcel 09140110100 (Shelton) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 09140110100, Shelton Home Price Forecast

Naugatuck Valley, CT · Census Tract 09140110100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$343K

Downside (P10)

$285K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$362K

+6% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$494K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$252K	$316K	$321K	$343K	$354K	$364K	$362K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$91,518	-$27,718	-$22,218		+$11,155	+$20,964	+$19,079
Growth % vs 2026	-26.7%	-8.1%	-6.5%		+3.3%	+6.1%	+5.6%
Downside (P10)					$304K	$289K	$285K
Upside (P90)					$394K	$433K	$494K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$304K to $394K

25.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$285K to $494K

57.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.6% · Spread: 58%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 09140110100, Shelton on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).