What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09140125100 in Ansonia?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $319,137 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09140125100 in Ansonia?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $319,137 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.2%.

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Parcel 09140125100 (Ansonia) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 09140125100, Ansonia Home Price Forecast

Naugatuck Valley, CT · Census Tract 09140125100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$319K

Downside (P10)

$285K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$349K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$474K

+49% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$266K	$273K	$308K	$319K	$328K	$343K	$349K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$53,637	-$46,037	-$10,937		+$8,904	+$23,859	+$29,452
Growth % vs 2026	-16.8%	-14.4%	-3.4%		+2.8%	+7.5%	+9.2%
Downside (P10)					$275K	$271K	$285K
Upside (P90)					$388K	$424K	$474K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$275K to $388K

34.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$285K to $474K

54.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.2% · Spread: 54%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 09140125100, Ansonia on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).