What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09140350800 in Waterbury?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $226,965 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09140350800 in Waterbury?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $226,965 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.4%.

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Parcel 09140350800 (Waterbury) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 09140350800, Waterbury Home Price Forecast

Naugatuck Valley, CT · Census Tract 09140350800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$227K

Downside (P10)

$173K

-24% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$253K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$315K

+39% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$188K	$215K	$225K	$227K	$231K	$243K	$253K	$236K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$39,465	-$12,165	-$2,265		+$3,877	+$16,439	+$25,768	+$9,354
Growth % vs 2026	-17.4%	-5.4%	-1.0%		+1.7%	+7.2%	+11.4%	+4.1%
Downside (P10)					$186K	$172K	$173K	$208K
Upside (P90)					$292K	$324K	$315K	$272K

Forecast Confidence

85%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$186K to $292K

45.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$208K to $272K

27.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.1% · Spread: 27%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 09140350800, Waterbury on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).