What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09140351602 in Waterbury?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $189,291 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09140351602 in Waterbury?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $189,291 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.2%.

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Parcel 09140351602 (Waterbury) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 09140351602, Waterbury Home Price Forecast

Naugatuck Valley, CT · Census Tract 09140351602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$189K

Downside (P10)

$178K

-6% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$216K

+14% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$292K

+54% by 2030

Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$180K	$183K	$189K	$189K	$197K	$202K	$216K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$9,091	-$6,191	-$191		+$7,831	+$12,882	+$26,889
Growth % vs 2026	-4.8%	-3.3%	-0.1%		+4.1%	+6.8%	+14.2%
Downside (P10)					$169K	$175K	$178K
Upside (P90)					$236K	$264K	$292K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$169K to $236K

34.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$178K to $292K

52.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +14.2% · Spread: 53%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 09140351602, Waterbury on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).