What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09140352800 in Waterbury?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $214,041 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09140352800 in Waterbury?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $214,041 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.9%.

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Parcel 09140352800 (Waterbury) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 09140352800, Waterbury Home Price Forecast

Naugatuck Valley, CT · Census Tract 09140352800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$214K

Downside (P10)

$190K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$224K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$289K

+35% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$161K	$184K	$208K	$214K	$221K	$224K	$224K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$53,141	-$29,941	-$6,241		+$6,477	+$10,455	+$10,405
Growth % vs 2026	-24.8%	-14.0%	-2.9%		+3.0%	+4.9%	+4.9%
Downside (P10)					$189K	$186K	$190K
Upside (P90)					$248K	$268K	$289K

Forecast Confidence

76%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$189K to $248K

27.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$190K to $289K

44.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.9% · Spread: 44%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 09140352800, Waterbury on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).