What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09140405801 in Bristol?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $318,176 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09140405801 in Bristol?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $318,176 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.7%.

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Parcel 09140405801 (Bristol) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 09140405801, Bristol Home Price Forecast

Naugatuck Valley, CT · Census Tract 09140405801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$318K

Downside (P10)

$284K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$330K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$471K

+48% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$233K	$285K	$309K	$318K	$323K	$343K	$330K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$85,376	-$33,276	-$8,876		+$4,945	+$24,445	+$11,794
Growth % vs 2026	-26.8%	-10.5%	-2.8%		+1.6%	+7.7%	+3.7%
Downside (P10)					$288K	$285K	$284K
Upside (P90)					$391K	$417K	$471K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$288K to $391K

31.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$284K to $471K

56.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.7% · Spread: 57%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 09140405801, Bristol on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).