What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09180705400 in Stonington?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $477,016 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09180705400 in Stonington?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $477,016 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.1%.

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Parcel 09180705400 (Stonington) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 09180705400, Stonington Home Price Forecast

Southeastern Connecticut, CT · Census Tract 09180705400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$477K

Downside (P10)

$392K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$516K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$645K

+35% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$377K	$463K	$464K	$477K	$492K	$494K	$516K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$100,116	-$14,116	-$13,416		+$15,274	+$17,342	+$38,868
Growth % vs 2026	-21.0%	-3.0%	-2.8%		+3.2%	+3.6%	+8.1%
Downside (P10)					$397K	$404K	$392K
Upside (P90)					$610K	$646K	$645K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$397K to $610K

43.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$392K to $645K

48.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.1% · Spread: 49%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 09180705400, Stonington on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).