What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09190230502 in Newtown · (Tract 2305.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $534,461 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09190230502 in Newtown · (Tract 2305.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $534,461 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

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Parcel 09190230502 (Newtown) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 09190230502, Newtown · (Tract 2305.2) Home Price Forecast

Western Connecticut, CT · Census Tract 09190230502 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$534K

Downside (P10)

$482K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$580K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$791K

+48% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$449K	$473K	$502K	$534K	$538K	$560K	$580K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$85,961	-$61,961	-$32,061		+$3,358	+$25,867	+$45,380
Growth % vs 2026	-16.1%	-11.6%	-6.0%		+0.6%	+4.8%	+8.5%
Downside (P10)					$491K	$470K	$482K
Upside (P90)					$631K	$686K	$791K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$491K to $631K

26.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$482K to $791K

53.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.5% · Spread: 53%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 09190230502, Newtown · (Tract 2305.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).