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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 11030, DC · Census Tract 11030920000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.56M
Downside (P10)
$825K
-47% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.40M
-10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.02M
+29% by 2030
Base case: -10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -47% to +29%. The model forecasts this with 53% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.4M | $1.4M |
| YoY Change | -0.8% | -6.2% | -2.3% | -1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $914K | $812K | $825K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$1.06M to $1.99M
60.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$825K to $2.02M
85.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920000 | $1.56M | $1.40M | -10.1% | |
| Tract 560004 | $1.10M | $1.13M | +2.6% | |
| Tract 440001 | $1.42M | $1.34M | -6.1% | |
| Tract 680007 | $2.68M | $2.36M | -11.7% | |
| Tract 720006 | $3.35M | $2.90M | -13.2% | |
| Tract 360000 | $2.04M | $1.46M | -28.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920000 | $1.56M | $1.40M | -10.1% | |
| Tract 560004 | $1.10M | $1.13M | +2.6% | |
| Tract 440001 | $1.42M | $1.34M | -6.1% | |
| Tract 680007 | $2.68M | $2.36M | -11.7% | |
| Tract 720006 | $3.35M | $2.90M | -13.2% | |
| Tract 360000 | $2.04M | $1.46M | -28.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920000 | $1.56M | $1.40M | $1.19M | |
| Tract 680007 | $2.68M | $2.36M | $1.79M | |
| Tract 720006 | $3.35M | $2.90M | $1.33M | |
| Tract 360000 | $2.04M | $1.46M | $1.15M | |
| Tract 560004 | $1.10M | $1.13M | $891K | |
| Tract 440001 | $1.42M | $1.34M | $696K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources