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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 11505, DC · Census Tract 11505000921 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$2.28M
Downside (P10)
$950K
-58% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.57M
-31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.08M
-9% by 2030
Base case: -31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -58% to -9%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.3M | $2.2M | $1.9M | $1.7M | $1.6M |
| YoY Change | -1.8% | -15.2% | -13.0% | -5.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.6M | $1.3M | $1.0M | $950K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.6M | $2.4M | $2.1M | $2.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.63M to $2.64M
45.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$950K to $2.08M
72.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000921 | $2.28M | $1.57M | -31.3% | |
| Tract 001069 | $2.30M | $1.71M | -25.5% | |
| Tract 001182 | $2.23M | $1.66M | -25.5% | |
| Tract 000361 | $2.24M | $1.62M | -27.5% | |
| Tract 000646 | $2.23M | $1.55M | -30.8% | |
| Tract 000468 | $2.33M | $1.58M | -32.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000921 | $2.28M | $1.57M | -31.3% | |
| Tract 001661 | $1.72M | $1.35M | -21.4% | |
| Tract 001360 | $1.70M | $1.31M | -22.6% | |
| Tract 000808 | $1.63M | $1.26M | -22.6% | |
| Tract 000303 | $1.51M | $1.16M | -23.2% | |
| Tract 001027 | $2.42M | $1.83M | -24.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000921 | $2.28M | $1.57M | $1.13M | |
| Tract 000248 | $1.56M | $1.11M | $1.00M | |
| Tract 001247 | $1.68M | $1.19M | $1.00M | |
| Tract 002068 | $1.91M | $1.40M | $992K | |
| Tract 000646 | $2.23M | $1.55M | $972K | |
| Tract 001425 | $1.59M | $1.17M | $922K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources