Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 11732, DC · Census Tract 11732440008 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.11M
Downside (P10)
$465K
-58% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$875K
-21% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.45M
+31% by 2030
Base case: -21% by 2030, with a forecast range from -58% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 38% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.1M | $962K | $882K | $875K |
| YoY Change | -3.7% | -10.3% | -8.2% | -0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $658K | $560K | $478K | $465K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$658K to $1.44M
72.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$465K to $1.45M
113.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 440008 | $1.11M | $875K | -21.4% | |
| Tract 080002 | $1.21M | $1.07M | -11.2% | |
| Tract 040000 | $1.19M | $977K | -17.6% | |
| Tract 360007 | $1.35M | $1.10M | -18.4% | |
| Tract 400006 | $1.13M | $909K | -19.3% | |
| Tract 480000 | $1.40M | $962K | -31.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 440008 | $1.11M | $875K | -21.4% | |
| Tract 080002 | $1.21M | $1.07M | -11.2% | |
| Tract 040000 | $1.19M | $977K | -17.6% | |
| Tract 360007 | $1.35M | $1.10M | -18.4% | |
| Tract 400006 | $1.13M | $909K | -19.3% | |
| Tract 960009 | $2.23M | $1.65M | -25.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 440008 | $1.11M | $875K | $989K | |
| Tract 960009 | $2.23M | $1.65M | $1.12M | |
| Tract 040000 | $1.19M | $977K | $1.02M | |
| Tract 000008 | $1.42M | $1.04M | $961K | |
| Tract 600000 | $1.68M | $1.17M | $907K | |
| Tract 360007 | $1.35M | $1.10M | $848K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources