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County 10380, DE · Census Tract 10380920007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$559K
Downside (P10)
$409K
-27% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$643K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.07M
+92% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -27% to +92%. The model forecasts this with 43% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $559K | $596K | $580K | $588K | $643K |
| YoY Change | +6.5% | -2.6% | +1.3% | +9.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $443K | $390K | $383K | $409K | |
| Upside (P90) | $848K | $871K | $966K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$443K to $848K
67.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$409K to $1.07M
103.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920007 | $559K | $643K | +15.0% | |
| Tract 280006 | $556K | $683K | +22.9% | |
| Tract 360007 | $553K | $667K | +20.5% | |
| Tract 200002 | $553K | $643K | +16.2% | |
| Tract 560001 | $561K | $641K | +14.3% | |
| Tract 080002 | $556K | $612K | +10.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920007 | $559K | $643K | +15.0% | |
| Tract 600000 | $544K | $694K | +27.6% | |
| Tract 280006 | $556K | $683K | +22.9% | |
| Tract 120001 | $536K | $648K | +20.9% | |
| Tract 360007 | $553K | $667K | +20.5% | |
| Tract 200002 | $553K | $643K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920007 | $559K | $643K | $665K | |
| Tract 120001 | $536K | $648K | $714K | |
| Tract 560001 | $561K | $641K | $711K | |
| Tract 200002 | $553K | $643K | $705K | |
| Tract 600000 | $544K | $694K | $630K | |
| Tract 080002 | $556K | $612K | $573K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources