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County 10588, DE · Census Tract 10588005300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$3.99M
Downside (P10)
$2.86M
-28% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$3.23M
-19% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.77M
-5% by 2030
Base case: -19% by 2030, with a forecast range from -28% to -5%. The model forecasts this with 84% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.0M | $4.2M | $3.7M | $3.3M | $3.2M |
| YoY Change | +5.1% | -11.9% | -11.0% | -1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $3.8M | $3.3M | $2.9M | $2.9M | |
| Upside (P90) | $4.6M | $4.2M | $3.8M | $3.8M |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$3.79M to $4.60M
19.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$2.86M to $3.77M
28.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005300 | $3.99M | $3.23M | -19.0% | |
| Tract 005452 | $4.28M | $3.57M | -16.6% | |
| Tract 005203 | $4.03M | $3.32M | -17.5% | |
| Tract 005151 | $3.81M | $3.08M | -19.1% | |
| Tract 005355 | $3.82M | $3.06M | -19.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005300 | $3.99M | $3.23M | -19.0% | |
| Tract 005452 | $4.28M | $3.57M | -16.6% | |
| Tract 005203 | $4.03M | $3.32M | -17.5% | |
| Tract 005151 | $3.81M | $3.08M | -19.1% | |
| Tract 005355 | $3.82M | $3.06M | -19.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005300 | $3.99M | $3.23M | $915K | |
| Tract 005203 | $4.03M | $3.32M | $942K | |
| Tract 005452 | $4.28M | $3.57M | $935K | |
| Tract 005151 | $3.81M | $3.08M | $907K | |
| Tract 005355 | $3.82M | $3.06M | $853K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources