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Kent, DE · ZIP 19943 · Census Tract 10001042206 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$351K
Downside (P10)
$322K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$385K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$517K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $236K | $246K | $265K | $301K | $332K | $351K | $372K | $383K | $385K |
| YoY Change | +4.4% | +7.6% | +13.8% | +10.4% | +5.7% | +6.0% | +2.8% | +0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $322K | $323K | $322K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $413K | $459K | $517K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$322K to $413K
24.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$322K to $517K
50.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Kent | $338K | $385K | +14.0% | |
| Dover (Tract 041702) | $349K | $389K | +11.7% | |
| Central Kent (Tract 042100) | $357K | $403K | +13.1% | |
| Dover (Tract 041200) | $342K | $339K | -0.9% | |
| Central Kent (Tract 042207) | $340K | $361K | +6.2% | |
| Kenton | $339K | $390K | +15.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Kent | $338K | $385K | +14.0% | |
| Dover (Tract 041000) | $251K | $291K | +15.9% | |
| Harrington | $306K | $354K | +15.7% | |
| Central Kent | $312K | $360K | +15.4% | |
| Kenton | $339K | $390K | +15.0% | |
| Dover (Tract 040700) | $327K | $373K | +14.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Kent | $338K | $385K | $195K | |
| Dover | $200K | $213K | $106K | |
| Central Kent | $262K | $282K | $123K | |
| Smyrna (Tract 040205) | $258K | $275K | $125K | |
| Smyrna (Tract 040201) | $309K | $336K | $129K | |
| Harrington | $249K | $272K | $130K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.