What is the home price forecast for Parcel 10003016306 in New Castle?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $336,579 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 10003016306 in New Castle?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $336,579 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.4%.

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Parcel 10003016306 (New Castle) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 10003016306, New Castle Home Price Forecast

New Castle, DE · ZIP 19720 · Census Tract 10003016306 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$337K

Downside (P10)

$275K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$351K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$443K

+32% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$235K	$263K	$309K	$307K	$338K	$337K	$340K	$349K	$351K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$101,479	-$73,479	-$27,279	-$29,779	+$1,121		+$3,384	+$12,424	+$14,799
Growth % vs 2026	-30.2%	-21.8%	-8.1%	-8.8%	+0.3%		+1.0%	+3.7%	+4.4%
Downside (P10)							$293K	$279K	$275K
Upside (P90)							$401K	$405K	$443K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$293K to $401K

31.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$275K to $443K

47.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.4% · Spread: 48%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 10003016306, New Castle on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).