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Sussex, DE · ZIP 19968 · Census Tract 10005050805 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$464K
Downside (P10)
$342K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$472K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$603K
+30% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $350K | $370K | $412K | $441K | $462K | $464K | $473K | $473K | $472K | $479K |
| YoY Change | +5.7% | +11.3% | +7.1% | +4.7% | +0.5% | +2.0% | -0.1% | -0.2% | +1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $364K | $354K | $342K | $429K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $521K | $570K | $603K | $542K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$364K to $521K
33.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$429K to $542K
23.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton · 19968 · (Tract 508.5) | $467K | $472K | +1.1% | |
| Selbyville-Frankford (Tract 051312) | $464K | $524K | +12.9% | |
| Selbyville-Frankford (Tract 051313) | $483K | $533K | +10.3% | |
| Millsboro | $457K | $480K | +5.1% | |
| Selbyville-Frankford (Tract 051308) | $483K | $504K | +4.2% | |
| Lewes | $463K | $481K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton · 19968 · (Tract 508.5) | $467K | $472K | +1.1% | |
| Lewes (Tract 051008) | $504K | $592K | +17.5% | |
| Lewes (Tract 051009) | $948K | $1.11M | +17.4% | |
| Seaford (Tract 050406) | $264K | $305K | +15.7% | |
| Seaford (Tract 050405) | $246K | $280K | +14.0% | |
| Millsboro | $246K | $278K | +13.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton · 19968 · (Tract 508.5) | $467K | $472K | $261K | |
| Georgetown | $283K | $291K | $138K | |
| Laurel-Delmar | $266K | $279K | $137K | |
| Millsboro (Tract 050706) | $185K | $207K | $99K | |
| Millsboro (Tract 050711) | $106K | $119K | $76K | |
| Millsboro (Tract 050710) | $102K | $114K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.