What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12001002002 in Hawthorne?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $172,957 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12001002002 in Hawthorne?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $172,957 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.3%.

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Parcel 12001002002 (Hawthorne) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 12001002002, Hawthorne Home Price Forecast

Alachua, FL · ZIP 32640 · Census Tract 12001002002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$173K

Downside (P10)

$148K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$182K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$240K

+39% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$143K	$160K	$179K	$148K	$173K	$173K	$178K	$178K	$182K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$29,657	-$13,257	+$5,743	-$24,857	-$257		+$4,971	+$5,077	+$9,106
Growth % vs 2026	-17.1%	-7.7%	+3.3%	-14.4%	-0.1%		+2.9%	+2.9%	+5.3%
Downside (P10)							$149K	$148K	$148K
Upside (P90)							$203K	$222K	$240K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$149K to $203K

30.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$148K to $240K

50.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.3% · Spread: 51%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 12001002002, Hawthorne on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).