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Charlotte, FL · ZIP 33983 · Census Tract 12015021001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$395K
Downside (P10)
$320K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$418K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$543K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $123K | $145K | $145K | $174K | $193K | $247K | $255K | $294K | $359K | $386K | $395K | $399K | $420K | $418K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$272,023 | -$249,823 | -$250,223 | -$221,123 | -$201,823 | -$147,923 | -$140,423 | -$100,823 | -$36,123 | -$8,723 | +$3,920 | +$25,242 | +$23,265 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -68.9% | -63.3% | -63.4% | -56.0% | -51.1% | -37.5% | -35.6% | -25.5% | -9.1% | -2.2% | +1.0% | +6.4% | +5.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $339K | $327K | $320K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $483K | $528K | $543K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$339K to $483K
36.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$320K to $543K
53.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Charlotte | $390K | $418K | +7.2% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020402) | $400K | $456K | +14.1% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020103) | $406K | $437K | +7.7% | |
| Grove City-Rotonda (Tract 030506) | $403K | $416K | +3.1% | |
| Grove City-Rotonda (Tract 030101) | $386K | $397K | +3.0% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020501) | $391K | $383K | -2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Charlotte | $390K | $418K | +7.2% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020206) | $293K | $339K | +15.5% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020601) | $250K | $285K | +14.1% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020402) | $400K | $456K | +14.1% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020900) | $273K | $308K | +12.8% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020303) | $285K | $320K | +12.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Charlotte | $390K | $418K | $223K | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 021003) | $203K | $216K | $104K | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020700) | $165K | $179K | $99K | |
| Englewood | $193K | $200K | $99K | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020800) | $197K | $208K | $95K | |
| Punta Gorda | $110K | $109K | $64K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Charlotte, FL · ZIP 33983 · Census Tract 12015021001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$395K
Downside (P10)
$320K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$418K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$543K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $123K | $145K | $145K | $174K | $193K | $247K | $255K | $294K | $359K | $386K | $395K | $399K | $420K | $418K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$272,023 | -$249,823 | -$250,223 | -$221,123 | -$201,823 | -$147,923 | -$140,423 | -$100,823 | -$36,123 | -$8,723 | +$3,920 | +$25,242 | +$23,265 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -68.9% | -63.3% | -63.4% | -56.0% | -51.1% | -37.5% | -35.6% | -25.5% | -9.1% | -2.2% | +1.0% | +6.4% | +5.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $339K | $327K | $320K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $483K | $528K | $543K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$339K to $483K
36.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$320K to $543K
53.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Charlotte | $390K | $418K | +7.2% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020402) | $400K | $456K | +14.1% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020103) | $406K | $437K | +7.7% | |
| Grove City-Rotonda (Tract 030506) | $403K | $416K | +3.1% | |
| Grove City-Rotonda (Tract 030101) | $386K | $397K | +3.0% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020501) | $391K | $383K | -2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Charlotte | $390K | $418K | +7.2% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020206) | $293K | $339K | +15.5% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020601) | $250K | $285K | +14.1% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020402) | $400K | $456K | +14.1% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020900) | $273K | $308K | +12.8% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020303) | $285K | $320K | +12.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Charlotte | $390K | $418K | $223K | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 021003) | $203K | $216K | $104K | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020700) | $165K | $179K | $99K | |
| Englewood | $193K | $200K | $99K | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020800) | $197K | $208K | $95K | |
| Punta Gorda | $110K | $109K | $64K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
