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Citrus, FL · ZIP 34434 · Census Tract 12017450310 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$236K
Downside (P10)
$197K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$249K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$356K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $143K | $144K | $170K | $204K | $232K | $236K | $244K | $241K | $249K | $242K |
| YoY Change | +0.4% | +18.3% | +20.1% | +14.0% | +1.5% | +3.3% | -1.1% | +3.4% | -3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $208K | $205K | $197K | $214K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $292K | $312K | $356K | $278K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$208K to $292K
34.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$214K to $278K
26.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citrus Springs · Dunnellon · (Tract 4503.10) | $237K | $249K | +5.1% | |
| Inverness (Tract 451300) | $240K | $263K | +9.4% | |
| Inverness Highlands South | $224K | $240K | +6.9% | |
| Crystal River (Tract 450401) | $223K | $248K | +11.2% | |
| Inverness (Tract 451400) | $250K | $268K | +6.8% | |
| Crystal River (Tract 450305) | $251K | $279K | +11.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citrus Springs · Dunnellon · (Tract 4503.10) | $237K | $249K | +5.1% | |
| Inverness (Tract 451101) | $282K | $331K | +17.3% | |
| Homosassa | $368K | $422K | +14.9% | |
| Sugarmill Woods | $308K | $351K | +14.1% | |
| Crystal River | $261K | $297K | +13.6% | |
| Inverness (Tract 450901) | $201K | $227K | +12.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citrus Springs · Dunnellon · (Tract 4503.10) | $237K | $249K | $158K | |
| Crystal River (Tract 451605) | $93K | $96K | $52K | |
| Crystal River (Tract 451702) | $108K | $109K | $82K | |
| Inverness (Tract 451104) | $170K | $189K | $107K | |
| Inverness (Tract 450901) | $201K | $227K | $108K | |
| Inverness (Tract 450106) | $193K | $198K | $110K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.