Citrus, FL · ZIP 34436 · Census Tract 12017451104 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$171K
Downside (P10)
$139K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$189K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$246K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +44%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Citrus markets.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $92K | $107K | $129K | $161K | $168K | $171K | $171K | $181K | $189K | $174K |
| YoY Change | +16.7% | +20.6% | +25.0% | +4.0% | +1.9% | +0.1% | +6.0% | +4.6% | -8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $148K | $146K | $139K | $152K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $216K | $235K | $246K | $196K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$148K to $216K
39.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$152K to $196K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness · Floral City · (Tract 4511.4) | $170K | $189K | +11.6% | |
| Crystal River | $176K | $191K | +8.9% | |
| Homosassa Springs | $164K | $178K | +8.5% | |
| Beverly Hills | $178K | $182K | +2.3% | |
| Beverly Hills | $163K | $173K | +6.3% | |
| Inverness | $154K | $169K | +9.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness · Floral City · (Tract 4511.4) | $170K | $189K | +11.6% | |
| Inverness | $282K | $331K | +17.3% | |
| Homosassa | $368K | $422K | +14.9% | |
| Sugarmill Woods | $308K | $351K | +14.1% | |
| Crystal River | $261K | $297K | +13.6% | |
| Inverness | $201K | $227K | +12.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness · Floral City · (Tract 4511.4) | $170K | $189K | $107K | |
| Crystal River | $93K | $96K | $52K | |
| Crystal River | $108K | $109K | $82K | |
| Inverness | $201K | $227K | $108K | |
| Inverness | $193K | $198K | $110K | |
| Crystal River | $176K | $191K | $112K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.