County 12120, FL · Census Tract 12120001469 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$4.97M
Downside (P10)
$3.60M
-28% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$4.30M
-13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$5.34M
+8% by 2030
Base case: -13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -28% to +8%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 12120 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $5.0M | $5.1M | $4.7M | $4.3M | $4.3M |
| YoY Change | +1.8% | -7.9% | -7.7% | +0.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $4.4M | $3.9M | $3.6M | $3.6M | |
| Upside (P90) | $5.7M | $5.4M | $5.2M | $5.3M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$4.56M to $5.37M
16.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$3.60M to $5.34M
40.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001142 | $4.77M | $4.04M | -15.2% |
| Tract 001647 | $4.70M | $5.13M | +9.1% |
| Tract 001281 | $4.55M | $3.65M | -19.8% |
| Tract 001207 | $4.53M | $4.24M | -6.3% |
| Tract 001346 | $4.53M | $3.59M | -20.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000622 | $3.43M | $4.01M | +16.8% |
| Tract 000907 | $3.09M | $3.54M | +14.5% |
| Tract 000680 | $3.48M | $3.80M | +9.5% |
| Tract 000800 | $3.28M | $3.59M | +9.4% |
| Tract 001647 | $4.70M | $5.13M | +9.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001346 | $4.53M | $3.59M | $930K |
| Tract 001087 | $3.24M | $2.83M | $1000K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources