County 12705, FL · Census Tract 12705001224 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.11M
Downside (P10)
$952K
-55% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.55M
-26% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.98M
-6% by 2030
Base case: -26% by 2030, with a forecast range from -55% to -6%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 12705 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.1M | $2.0M | $1.8M | $1.6M | $1.6M |
| YoY Change | -3.6% | -12.5% | -11.1% | -1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.4M | $1.2M | $998K | $952K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.4M | $2.2M | $2.0M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.59M to $2.45M
40.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$952K to $1.98M
66.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001062 | $2.13M | $1.55M | -27.4% |
| Tract 001046 | $2.08M | $1.47M | -29.1% |
| Tract 001907 | $2.16M | $1.50M | -30.5% |
| Tract 002388 | $2.16M | $1.50M | -30.7% |
| Tract 000568 | $2.02M | $1.37M | -32.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001800 | $1.16M | $890K | -23.0% |
| Tract 001305 | $1.53M | $1.14M | -25.5% |
| Tract 001004 | $1.11M | $816K | -26.3% |
| Tract 002346 | $2.32M | $1.68M | -27.2% |
| Tract 001062 | $2.13M | $1.55M | -27.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001004 | $1.11M | $816K | $942K |
| Tract 001800 | $1.16M | $890K | $1.02M |
| Tract 001923 | $1.56M | $1.10M | $1.05M |
| Tract 000102 | $1.91M | $1.38M | $1.06M |
| Tract 001761 | $1.53M | $1.06M | $1.06M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources