County 12731, FL · Census Tract 12731040000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$4.89M
Downside (P10)
$2.23M
-54% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$3.34M
-32% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$4.19M
-14% by 2030
Base case: -32% by 2030, with a forecast range from -54% to -14%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 12731 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.9M | $4.6M | $3.8M | $3.4M | $3.3M |
| YoY Change | -5.3% | -17.0% | -11.5% | -1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $3.2M | $2.8M | $2.3M | $2.2M | |
| Upside (P90) | $5.3M | $4.6M | $4.2M | $4.2M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.92M to $5.37M
29.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$2.23M to $4.19M
58.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360007 | $4.34M | $2.67M | -38.4% |
| Tract 560001 | $3.18M | $2.50M | -21.3% |
| Tract 760005 | $3.09M | $2.12M | -31.5% |
| Tract 400006 | $2.64M | $1.84M | -30.0% |
| Tract 080002 | $2.58M | $1.83M | -29.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560001 | $3.18M | $2.50M | -21.3% |
| Tract 080002 | $2.58M | $1.83M | -29.0% |
| Tract 920007 | $2.38M | $1.67M | -29.7% |
| Tract 400006 | $2.64M | $1.84M | -30.0% |
| Tract 760005 | $3.09M | $2.12M | -31.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560001 | $3.18M | $2.50M | $1.11M |
| Tract 920007 | $2.38M | $1.67M | $1.38M |
| Tract 400006 | $2.64M | $1.84M | $1.41M |
| Tract 080002 | $2.58M | $1.83M | $1.56M |
| Tract 360007 | $4.34M | $2.67M | $1.59M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources