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Escambia, FL · ZIP 32506 · Census Tract 12033002704 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$202K
Downside (P10)
$181K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$212K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$269K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $103K | $97K | $90K | $89K | $98K | $104K | $122K | $153K | $176K | $200K | $202K | $206K | $210K | $212K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$99,315 | -$104,815 | -$112,715 | -$113,615 | -$104,515 | -$98,215 | -$80,715 | -$49,215 | -$26,315 | -$2,515 | +$3,773 | +$8,260 | +$9,635 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.1% | -51.8% | -55.7% | -56.2% | -51.7% | -48.6% | -39.9% | -24.3% | -13.0% | -1.2% | +1.9% | +4.1% | +4.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $163K | $175K | $181K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $248K | $251K | $269K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$163K to $248K
41.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$181K to $269K
41.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pensacola | $202K | $212K | +4.7% | |
| Bellview (Tract 003310) | $198K | $221K | +11.7% | |
| Brent | $199K | $222K | +11.2% | |
| Bellview (Tract 003313) | $201K | $215K | +7.2% | |
| Bellview (Tract 003311) | $204K | $211K | +3.9% | |
| Myrtle Grove | $203K | $209K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pensacola | $202K | $212K | +4.7% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 002607) | $414K | $492K | +18.9% | |
| Gonzalez | $277K | $321K | +16.1% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 001500) | $113K | $130K | +15.5% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 001800) | $88K | $101K | +15.3% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 001101) | $351K | $404K | +15.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pensacola | $202K | $212K | $88K | |
| Century | $128K | $136K | $63K | |
| Warrington | $105K | $114K | $58K | |
| West Pensacola (Tract 002803) | $110K | $119K | $55K | |
| West Pensacola (Tract 002100) | $89K | $97K | $45K | |
| Pensacola | $88K | $101K | $43K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Escambia, FL · ZIP 32506 · Census Tract 12033002704 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$202K
Downside (P10)
$181K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$212K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$269K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $103K | $97K | $90K | $89K | $98K | $104K | $122K | $153K | $176K | $200K | $202K | $206K | $210K | $212K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$99,315 | -$104,815 | -$112,715 | -$113,615 | -$104,515 | -$98,215 | -$80,715 | -$49,215 | -$26,315 | -$2,515 | +$3,773 | +$8,260 | +$9,635 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.1% | -51.8% | -55.7% | -56.2% | -51.7% | -48.6% | -39.9% | -24.3% | -13.0% | -1.2% | +1.9% | +4.1% | +4.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $163K | $175K | $181K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $248K | $251K | $269K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$163K to $248K
41.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$181K to $269K
41.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pensacola | $202K | $212K | +4.7% | |
| Bellview (Tract 003310) | $198K | $221K | +11.7% | |
| Brent | $199K | $222K | +11.2% | |
| Bellview (Tract 003313) | $201K | $215K | +7.2% | |
| Bellview (Tract 003311) | $204K | $211K | +3.9% | |
| Myrtle Grove | $203K | $209K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pensacola | $202K | $212K | +4.7% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 002607) | $414K | $492K | +18.9% | |
| Gonzalez | $277K | $321K | +16.1% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 001500) | $113K | $130K | +15.5% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 001800) | $88K | $101K | +15.3% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 001101) | $351K | $404K | +15.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pensacola | $202K | $212K | $88K | |
| Century | $128K | $136K | $63K | |
| Warrington | $105K | $114K | $58K | |
| West Pensacola (Tract 002803) | $110K | $119K | $55K | |
| West Pensacola (Tract 002100) | $89K | $97K | $45K | |
| Pensacola | $88K | $101K | $43K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
