What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12057004901 in Tampa?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $513,044 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12057004901 in Tampa?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $513,044 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.4%.

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Parcel 12057004901 (Tampa) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 12057004901, Tampa Home Price Forecast

Hillsborough, FL · ZIP 33606 · Census Tract 12057004901 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$513K

Downside (P10)

$419K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$531K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$707K

+38% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$267K	$248K	$294K	$355K	$490K	$513K	$523K	$534K	$531K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$246,344	-$265,044	-$218,944	-$158,144	-$23,444		+$9,752	+$20,655	+$17,547
Growth % vs 2026	-48.0%	-51.7%	-42.7%	-30.8%	-4.6%		+1.9%	+4.0%	+3.4%
Downside (P10)							$442K	$446K	$419K
Upside (P90)							$642K	$682K	$707K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$442K to $642K

38.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$419K to $707K

54.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.4% · Spread: 54%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 12057004901, Tampa on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).