What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12057006503 in Tampa?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $516,487 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 17.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12057006503 in Tampa?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $516,487 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 17.5%.

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Parcel 12057006503 (Tampa) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 12057006503, Tampa Home Price Forecast

Hillsborough, FL · ZIP 33611 · Census Tract 12057006503 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$516K

Downside (P10)

$471K

-9% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$607K

+18% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$821K

+59% by 2030

Base case: +18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +59%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$240K	$338K	$314K	$488K	$492K	$516K	$549K	$581K	$607K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$276,487	-$178,987	-$202,887	-$28,987	-$24,487		+$32,433	+$64,175	+$90,586
Growth % vs 2026	-53.5%	-34.7%	-39.3%	-5.6%	-4.7%		+6.3%	+12.4%	+17.5%
Downside (P10)							$479K	$463K	$471K
Upside (P90)							$641K	$696K	$821K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$479K to $641K

29.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$471K to $821K

57.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +17.5% · Spread: 58%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 12057006503, Tampa on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).