Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Hillsborough, FL · ZIP 33647 · Census Tract 12057010216 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$468K
Downside (P10)
$384K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$490K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$715K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $304K | $333K | $408K | $435K | $468K | $468K | $466K | $493K | $490K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$163,944 | -$135,644 | -$60,344 | -$33,444 | -$144 | -$1,765 | +$25,035 | +$22,239 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -35.0% | -29.0% | -12.9% | -7.1% | -0.0% | -0.4% | +5.3% | +4.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $405K | $400K | $384K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $586K | $641K | $715K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$405K to $586K
38.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$384K to $715K
67.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pebble Creek | $466K | $490K | +5.3% | |
| Tampa (Tract 001500) | $472K | $530K | +12.2% | |
| Tampa (Tract 002900) | $469K | $513K | +9.4% | |
| Carrollwood (Tract 011304) | $459K | $487K | +6.0% | |
| Carrollwood (Tract 011408) | $477K | $505K | +5.7% | |
| Tampa (Tract 006801) | $468K | $482K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pebble Creek | $466K | $490K | +5.3% | |
| Tampa (Tract 006503) | $500K | $607K | +21.4% | |
| Tampa (Tract 005101) | $526K | $632K | +20.1% | |
| Tampa (Tract 007102) | $943K | $1.13M | +20.1% | |
| Citrus Park | $352K | $419K | +18.8% | |
| University | $91K | $108K | +18.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pebble Creek | $466K | $490K | $330K | |
| Tampa (Tract 001900) | $226K | $246K | $101K | |
| Tampa (Tract 000701) | $202K | $225K | $97K | |
| University | $91K | $108K | $70K | |
| Thonotosassa | $75K | $82K | $47K | |
| Plant City | $63K | $66K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Hillsborough, FL · ZIP 33647 · Census Tract 12057010216 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$468K
Downside (P10)
$384K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$490K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$715K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $304K | $333K | $408K | $435K | $468K | $468K | $466K | $493K | $490K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$163,944 | -$135,644 | -$60,344 | -$33,444 | -$144 | -$1,765 | +$25,035 | +$22,239 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -35.0% | -29.0% | -12.9% | -7.1% | -0.0% | -0.4% | +5.3% | +4.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $405K | $400K | $384K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $586K | $641K | $715K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$405K to $586K
38.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$384K to $715K
67.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pebble Creek | $466K | $490K | +5.3% | |
| Tampa (Tract 001500) | $472K | $530K | +12.2% | |
| Tampa (Tract 002900) | $469K | $513K | +9.4% | |
| Carrollwood (Tract 011304) | $459K | $487K | +6.0% | |
| Carrollwood (Tract 011408) | $477K | $505K | +5.7% | |
| Tampa (Tract 006801) | $468K | $482K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pebble Creek | $466K | $490K | +5.3% | |
| Tampa (Tract 006503) | $500K | $607K | +21.4% | |
| Tampa (Tract 005101) | $526K | $632K | +20.1% | |
| Tampa (Tract 007102) | $943K | $1.13M | +20.1% | |
| Citrus Park | $352K | $419K | +18.8% | |
| University | $91K | $108K | +18.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pebble Creek | $466K | $490K | $330K | |
| Tampa (Tract 001900) | $226K | $246K | $101K | |
| Tampa (Tract 000701) | $202K | $225K | $97K | |
| University | $91K | $108K | $70K | |
| Thonotosassa | $75K | $82K | $47K | |
| Plant City | $63K | $66K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
