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Hillsborough, FL · ZIP 33613 · Census Tract 12057011108 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$372K
Downside (P10)
$331K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$396K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$541K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $130K | $146K | $165K | $178K | $196K | $197K | $231K | $279K | $312K | $357K | $372K | $378K | $392K | $396K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$241,690 | -$226,090 | -$207,590 | -$194,290 | -$176,290 | -$175,390 | -$141,090 | -$93,190 | -$59,990 | -$15,390 | +$6,087 | +$19,500 | +$23,626 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -65.0% | -60.8% | -55.8% | -52.2% | -47.4% | -47.1% | -37.9% | -25.0% | -16.1% | -4.1% | +1.6% | +5.2% | +6.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $322K | $327K | $331K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $466K | $494K | $541K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$322K to $466K
38.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$331K to $541K
53.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Magdalene | $362K | $396K | +9.4% | |
| Tampa (Tract 001700) | $375K | $433K | +15.3% | |
| Lake Magdalene | $371K | $400K | +8.1% | |
| Tampa (Tract 011013) | $370K | $396K | +7.1% | |
| Temple Terrace | $370K | $393K | +6.2% | |
| Tampa (Tract 002400) | $377K | $387K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Magdalene | $362K | $396K | +9.4% | |
| Tampa (Tract 006503) | $500K | $607K | +21.4% | |
| Tampa (Tract 005101) | $526K | $632K | +20.1% | |
| Tampa (Tract 007102) | $943K | $1.13M | +20.1% | |
| Citrus Park | $352K | $419K | +18.8% | |
| University | $91K | $108K | +18.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Magdalene | $362K | $396K | $210K | |
| Tampa (Tract 001900) | $226K | $246K | $101K | |
| Tampa (Tract 000701) | $202K | $225K | $97K | |
| University | $91K | $108K | $70K | |
| Thonotosassa | $75K | $82K | $47K | |
| Plant City | $63K | $66K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Hillsborough, FL · ZIP 33613 · Census Tract 12057011108 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$372K
Downside (P10)
$331K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$396K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$541K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $130K | $146K | $165K | $178K | $196K | $197K | $231K | $279K | $312K | $357K | $372K | $378K | $392K | $396K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$241,690 | -$226,090 | -$207,590 | -$194,290 | -$176,290 | -$175,390 | -$141,090 | -$93,190 | -$59,990 | -$15,390 | +$6,087 | +$19,500 | +$23,626 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -65.0% | -60.8% | -55.8% | -52.2% | -47.4% | -47.1% | -37.9% | -25.0% | -16.1% | -4.1% | +1.6% | +5.2% | +6.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $322K | $327K | $331K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $466K | $494K | $541K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$322K to $466K
38.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$331K to $541K
53.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Magdalene | $362K | $396K | +9.4% | |
| Tampa (Tract 001700) | $375K | $433K | +15.3% | |
| Lake Magdalene | $371K | $400K | +8.1% | |
| Tampa (Tract 011013) | $370K | $396K | +7.1% | |
| Temple Terrace | $370K | $393K | +6.2% | |
| Tampa (Tract 002400) | $377K | $387K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Magdalene | $362K | $396K | +9.4% | |
| Tampa (Tract 006503) | $500K | $607K | +21.4% | |
| Tampa (Tract 005101) | $526K | $632K | +20.1% | |
| Tampa (Tract 007102) | $943K | $1.13M | +20.1% | |
| Citrus Park | $352K | $419K | +18.8% | |
| University | $91K | $108K | +18.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Magdalene | $362K | $396K | $210K | |
| Tampa (Tract 001900) | $226K | $246K | $101K | |
| Tampa (Tract 000701) | $202K | $225K | $97K | |
| University | $91K | $108K | $70K | |
| Thonotosassa | $75K | $82K | $47K | |
| Plant City | $63K | $66K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
