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Miami, FL · ZIP 33176 · Census Tract 12086008415 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$892K
Downside (P10)
$798K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$968K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.19M
+34% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $440K | $474K | $519K | $566K | $598K | $617K | $638K | $739K | $814K | $890K | $892K | $899K | $929K | $968K | $927K |
| YoY Change | +7.6% | +9.6% | +9.0% | +5.7% | +3.1% | +3.4% | +16.0% | +10.1% | +9.4% | +0.2% | +0.8% | +3.3% | +4.2% | -4.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $797K | $818K | $798K | $824K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.0M |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$797K to $1.05M
28.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$824K to $1.03M
22.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall South · 33176 · (Tract 84.15) | $902K | $968K | +7.4% | |
| South Miami | $904K | $999K | +10.4% | |
| Aventura (Tract 009704) | $895K | $979K | +9.3% | |
| Upper East Side | $883K | $946K | +7.1% | |
| Aventura (Tract 000146) | $880K | $932K | +6.0% | |
| Bal Harbour | $880K | $922K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall South · 33176 · (Tract 84.15) | $902K | $968K | +7.4% | |
| Allapattah | $392K | $491K | +25.2% | |
| Miami Lakes | $533K | $652K | +22.3% | |
| Miami Gardens | $409K | $488K | +19.4% | |
| Westchester | $480K | $570K | +18.7% | |
| Kendall South | $466K | $553K | +18.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall South · 33176 · (Tract 84.15) | $902K | $968K | $397K | |
| Kendall West | $101K | $112K | $79K | |
| Leisure City | $115K | $134K | $73K | |
| Hialeah | $64K | $69K | $44K | |
| Miami Gardens | $85K | $89K | $41K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.