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Orange, FL · ZIP 32835 · Census Tract 12095014807 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$418K
Downside (P10)
$373K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$475K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$639K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $218K | $210K | $228K | $253K | $266K | $289K | $321K | $364K | $393K | $404K | $418K | $436K | $450K | $475K |
| YoY Change | -3.4% | +8.4% | +11.0% | +5.3% | +8.3% | +11.2% | +13.5% | +7.9% | +2.7% | +3.7% | +4.2% | +3.3% | +5.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $382K | $385K | $373K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $523K | $584K | $639K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$382K to $523K
32.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$373K to $639K
55.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metro West · 32835 · (Tract 148.7) | $407K | $475K | +16.7% | |
| Avalon Park (Tract 016745) | $423K | $480K | +13.6% | |
| Avalon Park (Tract 016748) | $416K | $469K | +12.7% | |
| East Orange | $415K | $454K | +9.6% | |
| Apopka (Tract 017806) | $421K | $448K | +6.4% | |
| Apopka (Tract 017810) | $413K | $437K | +5.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metro West · 32835 · (Tract 148.7) | $407K | $475K | +16.7% | |
| Conway | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Azalea Park (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Apopka | $229K | $274K | +19.5% | |
| Azalea Park (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metro West · 32835 · (Tract 148.7) | $407K | $475K | $266K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| International Drive | $147K | $170K | $83K | |
| Waterford Lakes | $133K | $145K | $76K | |
| Orlando (Tract 016906) | $119K | $128K | $61K | |
| UCF | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.