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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Orange, FL · ZIP 32827 · Census Tract 12095016802 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$661K
Downside (P10)
$551K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$726K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$923K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $267K | $272K | $286K | $311K | $329K | $338K | $390K | $500K | $595K | $645K | $661K | $675K | $686K | $726K |
| YoY Change | +1.6% | +5.2% | +8.7% | +5.9% | +2.7% | +15.4% | +28.4% | +19.0% | +8.3% | +2.6% | +2.1% | +1.6% | +5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $570K | $567K | $551K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $829K | $887K | $923K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$570K to $829K
38.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$551K to $923K
51.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Nona | $645K | $726K | +12.5% | |
| Maitland | $662K | $747K | +12.8% | |
| Southwest Orange | $661K | $732K | +10.7% | |
| Winter Park (Tract 015702) | $658K | $710K | +7.9% | |
| Winter Park (Tract 016001) | $680K | $733K | +7.8% | |
| College Park | $680K | $729K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Nona | $645K | $726K | +12.5% | |
| Conway | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Azalea Park (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Apopka | $229K | $274K | +19.5% | |
| Azalea Park (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Nona | $645K | $726K | $372K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| International Drive | $147K | $170K | $83K | |
| Waterford Lakes | $133K | $145K | $76K | |
| Orlando (Tract 016906) | $119K | $128K | $61K | |
| UCF | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.