Orange, FL · ZIP 32833 · Census Tract 12095016606 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$644K
Downside (P10)
$545K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$716K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$906K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +41%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Orange markets.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $379K | $405K | $541K | $587K | $618K | $644K | $661K | $693K | $716K |
| YoY Change | +6.8% | +33.6% | +8.6% | +5.2% | +4.2% | +2.6% | +5.0% | +3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $545K | $541K | $545K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $785K | $875K | $906K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$545K to $785K
36.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$545K to $906K
50.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wedgefield | $624K | $716K | +14.7% | |
| Lake Nona | $645K | $726K | +12.5% | |
| Southwest Orange | $636K | $698K | +9.7% | |
| Southwest Orange | $633K | $706K | +11.5% | |
| Winter Park | $658K | $710K | +7.9% | |
| Winter Park | $628K | $690K | +10.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wedgefield | $624K | $716K | +14.7% | |
| Conway | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Azalea Park | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Apopka | $229K | $274K | +19.5% | |
| Azalea Park | $170K | $201K | +18.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wedgefield | $624K | $716K | $361K | |
| UCF | $87K | $88K | $46K | |
| Orlando | $119K | $128K | $61K | |
| Waterford Lakes | $133K | $145K | $76K | |
| International Drive | $147K | $170K | $83K | |
| Orlando | $186K | $200K | $84K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.