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Orange, FL · ZIP 34787 · Census Tract 12095017401 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$457K
Downside (P10)
$370K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$513K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$692K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $297K | $313K | $371K | $425K | $458K | $457K | $481K | $506K | $513K |
| YoY Change | +5.4% | +18.3% | +14.7% | +7.7% | -0.1% | +5.3% | +5.1% | +1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $388K | $381K | $370K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $585K | $667K | $692K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$388K to $585K
40.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$370K to $692K
62.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Garden-Ocoee · Winter Garden · (Tract 174.1) | $460K | $513K | +11.6% | |
| Goldenrod | $454K | $508K | +11.9% | |
| Colonialtown (Tract 011000) | $452K | $499K | +10.4% | |
| Colonialtown (Tract 010802) | $453K | $499K | +10.2% | |
| Waterford Lakes | $457K | $501K | +9.6% | |
| Meadow Woods | $454K | $474K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Garden-Ocoee · Winter Garden · (Tract 174.1) | $460K | $513K | +11.6% | |
| Conway | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Azalea Park (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Apopka | $229K | $274K | +19.5% | |
| Azalea Park (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Garden-Ocoee · Winter Garden · (Tract 174.1) | $460K | $513K | $322K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| International Drive | $147K | $170K | $83K | |
| Waterford Lakes | $133K | $145K | $76K | |
| Orlando (Tract 016906) | $119K | $128K | $61K | |
| UCF | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.