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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Osceola, FL · ZIP 34743 · Census Tract 12097042500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$345K
Downside (P10)
$291K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$371K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$551K
+60% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +60%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $109K | $126K | $152K | $165K | $182K | $194K | $212K | $249K | $276K | $347K | $345K | $351K | $367K | $371K |
| YoY Change | +16.2% | +20.8% | +8.0% | +10.9% | +6.5% | +9.2% | +17.5% | +10.6% | +25.9% | -0.6% | +1.7% | +4.6% | +1.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $308K | $306K | $291K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $443K | $499K | $551K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$308K to $443K
38.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$291K to $551K
70.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buenaventura Lakes · Kissimmee · (Tract 425) | $349K | $371K | +6.5% | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 041003) | $340K | $390K | +14.7% | |
| Buenaventura Lakes | $354K | $386K | +8.9% | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 041004) | $360K | $390K | +8.3% | |
| Four Corners | $341K | $368K | +8.0% | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 040809) | $337K | $355K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buenaventura Lakes · Kissimmee · (Tract 425) | $349K | $371K | +6.5% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043209) | $480K | $562K | +17.2% | |
| Poinciana | $294K | $344K | +16.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043207) | $372K | $434K | +16.8% | |
| Kissimmee | $320K | $371K | +16.1% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043304) | $364K | $422K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buenaventura Lakes · Kissimmee · (Tract 425) | $349K | $371K | $260K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 041005) | $205K | $212K | $110K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042300) | $225K | $257K | $104K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042905) | $147K | $165K | $101K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043203) | $203K | $223K | $96K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 040810) | $79K | $89K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.