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Osceola, FL · ZIP 34746 · Census Tract 12097040904 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$318K
Downside (P10)
$299K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$351K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$422K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 81% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $192K | $270K | $319K | $318K | $335K | $340K | $351K |
| YoY Change | +40.3% | +18.2% | -0.3% | +5.4% | +1.3% | +3.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $287K | $299K | $299K | ||||
| Upside (P90) | $389K | $402K | $422K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$287K to $389K
30.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$299K to $422K
35.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kissimmee · 34746 · (Tract 409.4) | $318K | $351K | +10.2% | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042100) | $320K | $371K | +16.1% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043500) | $318K | $364K | +14.3% | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 041600) | $327K | $351K | +7.2% | |
| Buenaventura Lakes | $310K | $319K | +2.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042400) | $318K | $326K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kissimmee · 34746 · (Tract 409.4) | $318K | $351K | +10.2% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043209) | $480K | $562K | +17.2% | |
| Poinciana | $294K | $344K | +16.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043207) | $372K | $434K | +16.8% | |
| Kissimmee | $320K | $371K | +16.1% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043304) | $364K | $422K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kissimmee · 34746 · (Tract 409.4) | $318K | $351K | $123K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 041005) | $205K | $212K | $110K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042300) | $225K | $257K | $104K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042905) | $147K | $165K | $101K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043203) | $203K | $223K | $96K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 040810) | $79K | $89K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.