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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Osceola, FL · ZIP 34769 · Census Tract 12097043208 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$380K
Downside (P10)
$310K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$437K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$588K
+55% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $215K | $228K | $273K | $314K | $376K | $380K | $399K | $423K | $437K | $393K |
| YoY Change | +6.4% | +19.4% | +15.3% | +19.7% | +0.9% | +5.0% | +6.1% | +3.2% | -10.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $320K | $299K | $310K | $355K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $483K | $505K | $588K | $444K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$320K to $483K
40.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$355K to $444K
22.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Cloud | $379K | $437K | +15.3% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042903) | $375K | $422K | +12.7% | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 040901) | $376K | $415K | +10.5% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042901) | $384K | $419K | +9.2% | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 040806) | $384K | $412K | +7.2% | |
| Buenaventura Lakes | $382K | $405K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Cloud | $379K | $437K | +15.3% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043209) | $480K | $562K | +17.2% | |
| Poinciana | $294K | $344K | +16.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043207) | $372K | $434K | +16.8% | |
| Kissimmee | $320K | $371K | +16.1% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043304) | $364K | $422K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Cloud | $379K | $437K | $278K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 041005) | $205K | $212K | $110K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042300) | $225K | $257K | $104K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042905) | $147K | $165K | $101K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043203) | $203K | $223K | $96K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 040810) | $79K | $89K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.