Palm Beach, FL · ZIP 33461 · Census Tract 12099004601 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$374K
Downside (P10)
$328K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$407K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$555K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +49%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Palm Beach markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $133K | $152K | $164K | $183K | $214K | $230K | $239K | $292K | $336K | $363K | $374K | $387K | $397K | $407K | $376K |
| YoY Change | +14.4% | +7.8% | +11.6% | +16.7% | +7.5% | +4.0% | +22.2% | +15.1% | +8.1% | +3.0% | +3.6% | +2.5% | +2.5% | -7.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $324K | $330K | $328K | $328K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $434K | $485K | $555K | $427K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$324K to $434K
28.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$328K to $427K
26.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Worth · 33461 · (Tract 46.1) | $371K | $407K | +9.6% | |
| West Palm Beach | $373K | $396K | +6.3% | |
| Boca Raton | $372K | $408K | +9.8% | |
| Sunshine Parkway | $376K | $403K | +7.3% | |
| Lake Worth Beach | $371K | $404K | +8.9% | |
| Boynton Beach | $371K | $399K | +7.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Worth · 33461 · (Tract 46.1) | $371K | $407K | +9.6% | |
| West Palm Beach | $333K | $404K | +21.6% | |
| Lake Worth | $369K | $438K | +18.7% | |
| Palm Beach Gardens | $460K | $544K | +18.2% | |
| Riviera Beach | $887K | $1.05M | +18.2% | |
| Boynton Beach-Delray Beach | $470K | $555K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Worth · 33461 · (Tract 46.1) | $371K | $407K | $227K | |
| West Palm Beach | $105K | $109K | $47K | |
| Riviera Beach | $111K | $119K | $51K | |
| West Palm Beach | $110K | $112K | $54K | |
| Boynton Beach-Delray Beach | $101K | $104K | $56K | |
| Belle Glade-Pahokee | $135K | $147K | $58K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.