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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pinellas, FL · ZIP 34685 · Census Tract 12103027323 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$546K
Downside (P10)
$494K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$581K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$704K
+29% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +29%. The model forecasts this with 80% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $281K | $295K | $342K | $354K | $425K | $388K | $395K | $456K | $499K | $516K | $546K | $552K | $577K | $581K |
| YoY Change | +4.9% | +16.0% | +3.3% | +20.1% | -8.7% | +1.8% | +15.5% | +9.5% | +3.5% | +5.7% | +1.1% | +4.6% | +0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $492K | $487K | $494K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $654K | $702K | $704K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$492K to $654K
29.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$494K to $704K
36.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Lake · Palm Harbor · (Tract 273.23) | $531K | $581K | +9.3% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023601) | $549K | $650K | +18.3% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 020105) | $550K | $619K | +12.5% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023300) | $552K | $613K | +11.0% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024411) | $547K | $565K | +3.2% | |
| St. Pete Beach | $543K | $537K | -1.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Lake · Palm Harbor · (Tract 273.23) | $531K | $581K | +9.3% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024409) | $636K | $762K | +19.8% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023601) | $549K | $650K | +18.3% | |
| Belleair Beach | $1.08M | $1.27M | +18.0% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023900) | $475K | $555K | +16.9% | |
| Clearwater | $343K | $400K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Lake · Palm Harbor · (Tract 273.23) | $531K | $581K | $210K | |
| Clearwater (Tract 025305) | $64K | $69K | $45K | |
| Clearwater (Tract 026819) | $60K | $64K | $31K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024519) | $59K | $64K | $31K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 025019) | $52K | $56K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.