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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pinellas, FL · ZIP 33704 · Census Tract 12103023800 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$733K
Downside (P10)
$563K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$812K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$983K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $238K | $271K | $318K | $358K | $387K | $459K | $482K | $611K | $630K | $726K | $733K | $767K | $791K | $812K |
| YoY Change | +13.6% | +17.4% | +12.5% | +8.3% | +18.4% | +5.0% | +26.9% | +3.1% | +15.2% | +0.9% | +4.6% | +3.2% | +2.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $651K | $584K | $563K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $881K | $925K | $983K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$651K to $881K
30.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$563K to $983K
51.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Petersburg · Saint Petersburg · (Tract 238) | $737K | $812K | +10.1% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 022401) | $706K | $805K | +14.0% | |
| Treasure Island | $721K | $799K | +10.8% | |
| East Lake | $754K | $790K | +4.8% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024004) | $725K | $747K | +3.1% | |
| Clearwater | $732K | $738K | +0.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Petersburg · Saint Petersburg · (Tract 238) | $737K | $812K | +10.1% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024409) | $636K | $762K | +19.8% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023601) | $549K | $650K | +18.3% | |
| Belleair Beach | $1.08M | $1.27M | +18.0% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023900) | $475K | $555K | +16.9% | |
| Clearwater | $343K | $400K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Petersburg · Saint Petersburg · (Tract 238) | $737K | $812K | $419K | |
| Clearwater (Tract 025305) | $64K | $69K | $45K | |
| Clearwater (Tract 026819) | $60K | $64K | $31K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024519) | $59K | $64K | $31K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 025019) | $52K | $56K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.