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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pinellas, FL · ZIP 33712 · Census Tract 12103021800 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$482K
Downside (P10)
$436K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$533K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$661K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $148K | $130K | $184K | $194K | $246K | $281K | $329K | $355K | $421K | $467K | $482K | $499K | $502K | $533K |
| YoY Change | -12.4% | +41.8% | +5.7% | +26.4% | +14.3% | +17.2% | +7.8% | +18.7% | +10.9% | +3.3% | +3.6% | +0.5% | +6.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $445K | $440K | $436K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $563K | $583K | $661K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$445K to $563K
23.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$436K to $661K
42.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Petersburg | $472K | $533K | +12.9% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023400) | $481K | $531K | +10.3% | |
| Palm Harbor (Tract 027211) | $476K | $511K | +7.3% | |
| Palm Harbor (Tract 027208) | $484K | $498K | +2.9% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024002) | $487K | $499K | +2.4% | |
| Palm Harbor (Tract 027314) | $486K | $485K | -0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Petersburg | $472K | $533K | +12.9% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024409) | $636K | $762K | +19.8% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023601) | $549K | $650K | +18.3% | |
| Belleair Beach | $1.08M | $1.27M | +18.0% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023900) | $475K | $555K | +16.9% | |
| Clearwater | $343K | $400K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Petersburg | $472K | $533K | $225K | |
| Clearwater (Tract 025305) | $64K | $69K | $45K | |
| Clearwater (Tract 026819) | $60K | $64K | $31K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024519) | $59K | $64K | $31K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 025019) | $52K | $56K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.