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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pinellas, FL · ZIP 33786 · Census Tract 12103027605 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.12M
Downside (P10)
$902K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.27M
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.65M
+48% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $580K | $569K | $559K | $591K | $612K | $709K | $769K | $987K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | -1.8% | -1.8% | +5.8% | +3.6% | +15.8% | +8.4% | +28.3% | +3.6% | +3.0% | +6.1% | +4.2% | +3.5% | +5.4% | -13.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $903K | $872K | $902K | $967K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$903K to $1.31M
35.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$967K to $1.23M
23.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belleair Beach | $1.08M | $1.27M | +18.0% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023700) | $1.07M | $1.20M | +12.4% | |
| St. Pete Beach | $980K | $1.07M | +9.3% | |
| Boca Ciega | $936K | $1.02M | +8.6% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 021501) | $1.12M | $1.21M | +8.2% | |
| Clearwater | $957K | $1.02M | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belleair Beach | $1.08M | $1.27M | +18.0% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024409) | $636K | $762K | +19.8% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023601) | $549K | $650K | +18.3% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023900) | $475K | $555K | +16.9% | |
| Clearwater | $343K | $400K | +16.6% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 028602) | $571K | $666K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belleair Beach | $1.08M | $1.27M | $746K | |
| Clearwater (Tract 025305) | $64K | $69K | $45K | |
| Clearwater (Tract 026819) | $60K | $64K | $31K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024519) | $59K | $64K | $31K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 025019) | $52K | $56K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.