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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Polk, FL · ZIP 33823 · Census Tract 12105012408 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$366K
Downside (P10)
$295K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$386K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$493K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $141K | $140K | $164K | $189K | $206K | $269K | $264K | $288K | $322K | $361K | $366K | $379K | $387K | $386K |
| YoY Change | -0.9% | +17.6% | +15.3% | +8.5% | +30.7% | -1.8% | +9.4% | +11.5% | +12.4% | +1.2% | +3.7% | +2.1% | -0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $326K | $314K | $295K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $456K | $470K | $493K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$326K to $456K
34.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$295K to $493K
51.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haines City | $368K | $386K | +4.8% | |
| Haines City (Tract 012502) | $362K | $436K | +20.4% | |
| Haines City (Tract 012413) | $365K | $396K | +8.4% | |
| Lakeland (Tract 011911) | $368K | $392K | +6.3% | |
| Lakeland (Tract 011822) | $363K | $384K | +5.7% | |
| Haines City (Tract 012514) | $361K | $375K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haines City | $368K | $386K | +4.8% | |
| Haines City (Tract 012502) | $362K | $436K | +20.4% | |
| Winter Haven-Auburndale (Tract 013801) | $193K | $231K | +19.7% | |
| Winter Haven-Auburndale (Tract 014006) | $354K | $423K | +19.5% | |
| Haines City (Tract 012515) | $333K | $397K | +19.1% | |
| Bartow | $207K | $245K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haines City | $368K | $386K | $198K | |
| Frostproof | $80K | $87K | $40K | |
| Lakeland (Tract 011400) | $97K | $101K | $39K | |
| Lakeland (Tract 011000) | $51K | $57K | $32K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.